Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 1.916085 2.185387 2.481053 2.830093 3.231333 3.678667 4.215948
2025-10-05 1.595576 1.964975 2.404278 2.966654 3.669571 4.521882 5.637897
2025-10-12 1.378218 1.810394 2.360204 3.114299 4.126989 5.447330 7.311447
2025-10-19 1.189728 1.651679 2.274466 3.181262 4.477709 6.279246 8.998169
2025-10-26 1.042850 1.519669 2.196115 3.234511 4.804150 7.113325 10.814338
2025-11-02 0.891472 1.355173 2.042998 3.149115 4.905518 7.623793 12.221196
2025-11-09 0.753402 1.188827 1.860692 2.986747 4.855210 7.881480 13.254376
2025-11-16 0.669995 1.094779 1.774918 2.960114 5.010259 8.477434 14.925264
2025-11-23 0.594691 1.003217 1.679842 2.901886 5.098503 8.965131 16.473077
2025-11-30 0.565350 0.984238 1.701659 3.044302 5.551899 10.146480 19.464043
2025-12-07 0.529117 0.948320 1.688860 3.121284 5.893692 11.167472 22.307897
2025-12-14 0.484020 0.890853 1.630215 3.104423 6.053114 11.860204 24.601540
2025-12-21 0.429189 0.810446 1.522584 2.984915 6.004954 12.157371 26.167835
2025-12-28 0.411781 0.799121 1.544118 3.122943 6.497706 13.628566 30.534938
2026-01-04 0.397029 0.791154 1.571037 3.275314 7.042705 15.293318 35.646035
2026-01-11 0.374802 0.765452 1.559159 3.344084 7.415902 16.638356 40.256458
2026-01-18 0.353405 0.738913 1.542244 3.399237 7.765853 17.982881 45.116268
2026-01-25 0.321593 0.686672 1.464862 3.308759 7.764571 18.501007 47.968770
2026-02-01 0.286825 0.624218 1.358349 3.137467 7.545277 18.455569 49.321054
2026-02-08 0.266547 0.591781 1.314893 3.109291 7.673325 19.295995 53.249707
2026-02-15 0.245869 0.556248 1.260549 3.047903 7.708885 19.904043 56.640127
2026-02-22 0.241053 0.556897 1.290061 3.197865 8.313929 22.112831 65.142409
2026-03-01 0.232014 0.546562 1.292343 3.278934 8.747588 23.924724 72.820883